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The Super Bowl has been around 55 years, yet more than a third of the league has never hoisted a Vince Lombardi Trophy. It's all about the schedule. The Tennessee Titans are one of 12 teams in the NFL to have never won a Super Bowl, and according to one writer, they are the furthest away from doing so of those dozen teams. Andy Reids never-ending two-minute drill robbed us of what could have been an exciting ending. The run offense needs to be stronger with Devin Singletary and Zack Moss as the offensive line has to create better holes up front to take the pressure off Allen. That alone earned the game a spot this high on the list. Sign up for the For The Win newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. They had a four-game losing streak, two in overtime, they were actually really good on both offense and defense. First place on this list scored 140 points in my grading system. As far as the division title is concerned, Baltimore is a narrow favorite over the Browns: 43% to 40%. But they have arguably the toughest schedule in the NFC (nine games against playoff teams from 2020), including a stretch that goes: at Baltimore, at Chargers, home vs Aaron Rodgers, at the 49ers. Sam Darnold cannot go from worst QB in the NFL (by some metrics) to winning the Super Bowl in twelve months. Arizona still needs more help in the secondary, but defensive coordinator Vance Joseph has man-cover corners to fit his scheme. This is the first game on this list that was actually competitive going into the fourth quarter, but it was a sloppy affair featuring seven fumbles and a pair of interceptions. This should have been a great game. At 133, this New England Patriots offense was extraordinary, but their defense was lacking and kept them out of the top 20. IMPORTANT NOTE: I used my own mathematical point system involving team records, offensive production, and defensive production to determine the order. Putting that unbelievable anecdote aside, the 49ers stumbled into the Super Bowl against the Cincinnati Bengals, and Montana did what Montana seemingly always did. Top draft picks Gregory Rousseau and Carlos Basham Jr. should help, but did Buffalo do enough to shore up the biggest hole on its roster? Reporting on what you care about. That's ridiculous. Indianapolis Colts +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Preseason surgery to Carson Wentz and Quentin Nelson could put the Colts down for the count before the calendar turns to October.. They also secured the first ring in franchise history. From Devin Hester to an elite defense led by Brian Urlacher, this team earned their spot on the biggest stage. Those first three are the Broncos' first three games of the season, an easy slate right off the bat. and Im sorry, but Dan Campbell is not winning the Super Bowl this year., 30. Kind of pains me to say it, but it was the 2011 Giants. They shipped 400 points that year in the regular season and normally that leads to a losing This is one of the worst rosters in the league, but Houston (at least) has a chance to win games if Watson plays. Jalen Hurts will not pull a Kurt Warner this year and lead the Eagles to the Super Bowl.. 17. Defensively, they were 22nd in points scored against, and it showed in the Super Bowl. Detroit Lions +12500 (bet $10 to win $1260 total), There is a universe in which the Lions ride an inspired Jared Goff and underrated defensive talent to seven or eight wins., But the schedule is brutal six road games against playoff teams from 2020! People think of Kerry Collins when they think of this 124 Giants squad, but this defense was the real story. To no surprise: It's the Patrick Mahomes-led offense -- which includes Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and a rebuilt offensive line -- that leads the way and is more than 2.5 points per game better than the next-best offense (Green Bay). Their defense back in the day was shutting teams down and they had great leadership in Fran Tarkenton. The AFC North features two major Super Bowl threats in Baltimore and Cleveland. This might be controversial among Bills fans, but this team was just as good as the year before. Boomer Esiason and the Bengals were the most productive offense in 1988. San Francisco's three games based on last year's standings are against the Eagles, Bengals and Falcons, who all rank 24th or worse in FPI. It truly is a remarkable tale, but the Patriots were nothing special on the way there. The Cardinals defense significantly improved with the addition of J.J. Watt and the return of Chandler Jones on the pass rush. It was all downhill for Chicago after Devin Hester returned the opening kick for a touchdown. Theres a reason teams from the NFC North are so low here, and its the schedule. In a 122 season, this team only surrendered more than 20 points once during the regular season. How much this defense will improve under first-year head coach Brandon Staley will be an indicator whether the Chargers are playoff-caliber. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. Although they have one less win, there stats still propel them ahead of the '86 team. Twenty-two women have said in lawsuits that Watson sexually assaulted them or engaged in sexually inappropriate behavior during massage sessions. Self care and ideas to help you live a healthier, happier life. Trent Dilfer. This would have been yet another classic Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowl if Neil ODonnell didnt throw the game away. Those numbers should improve under offensive coordinator Joe Brady, as the Panthers will find out if Darnold can become a franchise quarterback. He saved the team from the clutches of defeat and led a game-winning fourth-quarter drive. Check out the full strength of schedule rankings here. Yes, they have the best QB, a fleet of skill players and a fantastic coach, but history is not on their side. and a dramatic finish. One playoff win and taking the Kansas City Chiefs to the brink last season opened opportunities for the Browns, who possess one of the most talented rosters in the conference. It was easily the sloppiest Super Bowl of all-time. Yeah, this one wasnt compelling for neutral viewers. And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. This unit -- like the offense -- has the potential to be an elite group. As Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers went back and forth to win the title, Super Bowl LIV is the 13th-best Super Bowl on our list. For the 2021 version of FPI, we made some under-the-hood improvements, including an updated expected points added model and a better predictive quarterback rating system. They had a top 5 offense and defense. They were the 3rd best scoring offense in the league, but 28th on defense. Head coach Bill Cowher would get Super Bowl redemption the next decade, but this 115 team was pretty great all around. 3. Is this a bad thing?No, but it does not exactly make for one of the most dominant championship teams of all time. 20. They went 7-3 in one-score games last year and led the NFL in turnover margin (+11). The NFC West is loaded, but the Cardinals have the talent to win the division. A 133 record, and a top 5 offense and defense, this was the derailing of a potential dynasty. The Philadelphia Eagles were the most recent team to leave the "never won a Super Bowl" club, but the league only has three first-time Super Bowl winners since the start of the 2009 season. For starters, the NFC has nine road games this season, so a team from that conference was always likely to occupy the top spot. They are part of the legacy of the biggest game in sports, and they had fought hard an entire winning season. And in these two cases, both quarterbacks will have below-average pass protection in front of them, and both will be trying to compensate for their teams' defenses, which both rank in FPI's bottom six. Well, they play in a division that produced three playoff teams last year. Jacksonville Jaguars +9000 (bet $10 to win $910 total), "Dont tell me what you think tell me whats in your portfolio. 20 David Tyree: 2008 Giants Known for his improbable catch in the Super Bowl and how it essentially won the Giants the game, it also hasn't been lost that Tyree was just a mediocre player at best, at any point during his career. Both teams have two of the most talented rosters in the league and look to make an even deeper playoff run -- finally attempting to end title droughts that have lasted more than a half-century. Which is a shame, because this 11-4-1 team had a defense that was really impressive throughout the year. This game will be remembered for two plays: The surprise onside kick to start the second half and Tracy Porters game-sealing pick-6 of Manning. The aforementioned Dilfer-led passing game ranked only 23rd in the regular season (in fairness to Dilfer, he did replace Tony Banks midway through the year), and the only time the chains seemed to move was when rookie Jamal Lewis barreled forward for three or four yards. Cole Beasley is also a reliable target for Allen, who does as much damage from the outside as well as the slot. He finished fourth in the league in completion percentage (69.2), fifth in passing yards, fifth in passing touchdowns, and fourth in passer rating -- while also rushing for 421 yards and eight touchdowns. This Super Bowl gave us a bunch of memorable performances. As Rodgers' future hung in the balance over the summer, so too did the Packers' projections. Buffalo is on the doorstep of reaching the league championship game, thanks to the emergence of Josh Allen as one of the game's best quarterbacks. Two years ago, the 49ers were 10 minutes away from winning the Super Bowl, and they return eight defensive starters from that team. Allowed 173 yards per game on the ground lmao this1dude88 Chiefs 4 yr. ago That defense became dominant ", From the huge offseason losses on the offensive line, to questions about the secondary, to the difficult division there isnt an ounce of value in the Raiders to win a ring., 26. Just as importantly, no team lost more games to injury last year than the 49ers, And thats at every position. Keep in mind, the Larry Fitzgerald touchdown catch (pictured above) was to go ahead with 2:37 left in the game. They had one of the league's best defenses that year. WebTechnically the truth. Instead, Baltimore is here due to how poorly it played in its Super Bowl win. Four NFL teams the Browns, Lions, Jaguars, and Texans have never appeared in the Super Bowl. The Kansas City Chiefs might have lost Super Bowl LV, but they are still the NFL team to beat this season, according to the new ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) projections for 2021. 27. It took just seven wins for Washington to top the NFC East last season, and FPI still doesn't think much of the division a year later. A 15-1 team, losing to the Atlanta Falcons by a single touchdown, the 2015 Carolina Panthers were a dominant offensive force with an underrated defense. More NFL coverage . The Chiefs defense also surrendered 31 points. Here's everything we know, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Top QB prospect Levis eager to unleash 'cannon', Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. The Minnesota Vikings, Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos have been involved in some of the worst Super Bowls, but so have the Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys. Green, but for a young team with a young coach, locker room leadership was needed last year down the stretch when they lost five of seven and missed the playoffs.. 2) The AFC North is a filthy, disgusting mosh pit whence nobody comes out alive. 1980 was also the final year of "Stickum" being allowed in the NFL, and cornerback Lester Hayes used it to his full advantage, reeling off 18 interceptions in 20 games. When thinking about the 1990 season, it is hard to conjure up images of anything other than Buffalo Bills kicker Scott Norwood missing a potential Super Bowl-winning kick. Ron Jaworski, Harold Carmichael, and Wilbert Montgomery all had a part in this offense. and quarterback rating (112.4). The game that gave us all of those 28-3 jokes. A solid team all around, but more importantly, proficient on offense and defense. The Jets just didn't look all that good on their way to the mountaintop. Peyton Manning needed the Saints and Tracy Porter to not come marching in. The biggest preseason long shot to win the Super Bowl was the 1999 St. Louis Rams behind unknown QB Kurt Warner; the Rams were 300-1. On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady & Co. are projected to be the No. The game was expected to be a blowout Green Bay was favored by 13.5 points and it was. They faced perfection, so how can you be harsh when talking about them? The one Peyton let get away. Im all aboard the Trevor Lawrence bandwagon., 8. Despite the strength of the division, the 49ers play one of the easiest strength of schedules in the league (SOS rank: 29th). Same goes for this one. Meanwhile, the Cardinals, Rams and Seahawks all rank in the top half of the most difficult schedules. And to help you out, we ranked all 32 teams ahead of this season by the value on the odds they'll win the Super Bowl.. Take note: This isn't technically a ranking of the teams from very worst to very best, although the worse teams tend to be toward the bottom and the better teams toward the top. Yet I can see the defense making a Washington-type leap, and the offensive weapons are there for whoever wins the starting job. San Francisco finished the regular season at just 10-6, and the leading receiver was none other than Roger Craig. The Dirty Bird Falcons werent a match for the best team John Elway played on. edit: grammar Stroud, Will Levis, Anthony Richardson don't lack confidence at NFL combine, Bettors are backing Bears, Lions, Jets to make, win Super Bowl, NFLPA report cards show link between player-friendly coaches and winning, Georgia's Nolan Smith turns heads with blazing 40 at NFL combine, Alabama QB Bryce Young confident in abilities, downplays questions about frame, Stroud opposes Bears drafting him, defends Fields: 'That's his team', Sharp: Ravens have themselves to blame for not getting Lamar Jackson help, 49ers offseason preview: Potential Super Bowl team must figure out QB spot. With a hostage crisis in Iran taking attention away from the game, the Raiders and Eagles made sure Americans too concerned to tune into a football game didnt miss much. Obsessed with travel? FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense If Murray can stay healthy, the sky's the limit for this team. This game gave us one of the most iconic plays in Super Bowl history: John Riggins taking a 4th-and-one run to the house to help seal Joe Gibbs first Super Bowl win. It did earn him a bunch of money. It helps that the Browns arguably have a top three offensive line in football (if not the best). Allen set the Bills' franchise record for passing yards in a season (4,544) and passing touchdowns (37), finishing with a 107.2 passer rating. By contrast, FPI is bullish on Cleveland's offense -- which ranks third in the league behind the Chiefs and Packers but ahead of the Bills -- but gives the Browns the 18th-best defense. This was actually the closest one they played. 1 pick than the 2021 Houston Texans, at 24%. Peyton Manning dragged him and the rest of the team there. Cam Newton had an MVP season to remember and ran an offense that produced 31.3 points per game. I much prefer the Eagles to maybe sneak into the playoffs, as their only road game this season against a playoff team from last year is at Washington on Jan. 2. Green Bay Packers +1300 (bet $10 to win $140 total), The Packers are tied for the second-best odds to win the NFC, but their arduous schedule includes a league-high 10 games against teams that made the playoffs last year. There are quite a few contenders to win their first Super Bowl in 2021, and the two favorites reside in the loaded AFC. The Broncos do have to see Mahomes and the Chiefs twice, but they play only four top-10 FPI teams and get the extra home game for being in the AFC. 16. They're the fifth-best team in football and have the fourth-best chance to win it all with a 6% shot, according to FPI. Detroit has a young and talented offensive line (average age 24 years old) to protect new quarterback Jared Goffwho is looking to resurrect his career after getting traded by the Los Angeles Rams. WebPer Reuters, the NFL issued a cease-and-desist order to a Las Vegas law firm over a Super Bowl commercial featuring Raiders DE Maxx Crosby. A smart strategy? If Atlanta can create holes up front for free agent signing Mike Davis, the Falcons offense may be good enough to carry a defense that needs some work. Herbert has immensely changed the fortunes of a franchise that mired in mediocrity during Philip Rivers' final years. Colin Kaepernick came in on a hot streak, but unfortunately, this team's attrition failed them as the team consisted of older players. It remains the worst run defense in NFL history. They took down what was supposed to be the greatest team in NFL history and instead became one of the least likely Super Bowl champions in recent memory. The game may have been bad, but this is NFL history. This year, theres a chance theyre 4-0 heading into a week five game against the Cowboys. In a 17-game slate, the division matters that much less compared to strength of schedule. 10. Then Jim was thoroughly outcoached at every point by Sean Payton. Oh, and they had Terrell Owens, who was a superstar. Even without Wentz, the forecast for that stretch is better than one might guess; on average, the Colts win 2.2 of those games, and the chances that they start 0-5 is just over 1 in 20. It featured the great comeback, the only overtime in Super Bowl history, not one but two spectacular catches and a fascinating chess match between the Falcons and Patriots coaching staffs. There were great pieces, but the team was not performing at its peak. 15. The Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. Reggie White was downright unblockable. Those numbers are buoyed by two factors: FPI projects them to have the best defense in the league. The Chiefs rank No. Denver Broncos +5500 (bet $10 to win $560 total), Yes, this is irrationally high. I did not mean to rhyme there. Their defense only gave up 9.5 points per game in a 14-game season. Denver got out to a 10-0 lead before Washington dropped a Super Bowl-record 35 points in the second quarter on the Broncos defense. Las Vegas Raiders +6600 (bet $10 to win $670 total), One of the most dysfunctional teams in the league, the Raiders once again scream "stay away. Sure, it was a massive upset and Joe Namaths guarantee adds to the lore, but the game itself was a bore. The Titans thrust themselves into Super Bowl contention with the offseason addition of Julio Jones, a massive upgrade over departed free agent Corey Davis. To show you how wildly that fluctuates, in those categories the year before, Miami ranked 29th, 24th, and 27th.. With the best defense in the game, this 124 Steelers team could not stop a hot road team in the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers. This one was actually pretty entertaining for the first 30 minutes. Seriously, I get the Super Bowl is one of the worst in history, but this team was really great with an underappreciated defense. Use of this website (including any and all parts and components) constitutes your acceptance of these, place your futures bets on who is going to win, Every NFL team's 2021 win totals, ranked from worst to best bet. A game remembered more for trick plays and bad refereeing than the actual quality of either team, the Pittsburgh Steelers emerged victorious in their effort to send Jerome Bettis off into the sunset in style. Quick, use one word to describe Super Bowl XL in Detroit. Winning close games and narrowly escaping the agony of defeat is one way to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, and while that path may not be the most exciting or exhilarating, it has been traveled on multiple occasions. And the NFC South doesn't have any other teams ranked in FPI's top 10. There's enough depth to get by. It all makes for a nice story, but the fact remains that the Giants were not a superb team. Los Angeles is going to score points this year. ODonnell set Larry Browns family up for life with his dreadful performance. Matt Ryan was an MVP and led the best offense, but the defense surrendered 25.4 points per game. Not to mention, Reggie White wrecking people on defense. That being said, wait until they lose the opener to Tampa, and then get them at possibly better odds. Cincinnatis late onside kick attempt failed and deprived us of what could have been a classic ending. With an 11-2-1 record, this group was one of many Vikings teams that should have won the big game. The AFC West belongs to the Kansas City Chiefs, but second place is there for the taking. Houston would be much higher on this list if Deshaun Watson's future with the team wasn't uncertain. A.J. You may have been expecting one of the more famous Super Bowl results to land a little higher on the list. This team just wasn't ready yet. Los Angeles could put itself in position to contend for a playoff spot. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. Los Angeles Rams +1400 (bet $10 to win $150 total). The worst of the Bills Super Bowl teams at 115, but Jim Kelly and Thurman Thomas still elevated them offensively. Had Rodgers simply decided to retire rather than suit up, Green Bay's chances to make the playoffs would have dropped from 70% to 24%, and their Super Bowl chances would have dropped from 6% to 0.2%. Now the Colts will need to stay afloat while he recovers from foot surgery, which likely will cause him to miss the beginning of the season. It also gave us the first and only Super Bowl blackout. The game was so bad that the MVP award did not even go to a member of the winning team. And it isn't particularly bullish on their prospects. The problem is that for the first time in years, the Patriots have a brutal schedule. The only team in the division with a positive FPI rating -- making it above average -- is the Dallas Cowboys, who are just barely there at +0.7 (meaning they would be favored over an average NFL team by less than a point). Brady and Belichick established the Patriots as a dynasty with their third Lombardi in four years. An 11-win team with only 20.3 points per game. Aaron Rodgers capped off a brilliant playoff run with a masterful performance against one of the leagues best defenses. 22. 5. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury has to commit to running the ball besides using Murray on designed carries, or else Arizona will experience the same second-half swoon as last year. Oh yeah, Marino's offense averaged 32.1 points per game, too. Buffalo also went 6-1 in one-score games, including the playoff win over the Colts. Osi Umenyiora was the team's only starting Pro Bowler and the Giants trailed in every postseason game they played. In the Super Bowl, Pittsburgh managed just 16 points and won a defensive slugfest 16-6. Pittsburgh was just 7-5 through 12 games. Pittsburgh sent six men to the Pro Bowl, went a decent 10-3-1 in the regular season and, of course, won the Lombardi Trophy. Cincinnati Bengals +10000 (bet $10 to win $1010 total), The Bengals will be improved, but theyre not higher on this list for three reasons:. Dallas got out to an early 10-point lead and never looked back. Division favorites, win totals and the NFL's best (and worst) teams: Takeaways from the 2021 projections, The future of the NFL combine: Is there really a chance it could end forever? Plenty of fans were made because the 1998 Minnesota Vikings are the best team of all time to never make a Super Bowl. Id have to guess the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the Superbowl, but they didnt score many touch They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the Sure the game was over by the end of the second quarter, but watching Steve Young (six touchdown passes) and Jerry Rice (three touchdown receptions) tear up the Chargers was a joy to watch. Finishing 133 and a high-energy offense by Sean McVay, the Rams were a force to be reckoned with. If Lance does beat out Garoppolo, that would be a sign he is comparable to the veteran, and thus a downgrade might not make sense. The 10 Worst NFL Teams to Ever Win a Super Bowl - Sportscasting The Texans did finish 4-12 last season, even as Watson reached career highs in completion percentage (70.2), passing yards (4,823), touchdown passes (33). 1 in just about every projection you can imagine, including projected wins (11.5) and chances to reach the playoffs (89%), win their division (72%), be the No. The best chance they had and they were wide right. And that's embodied by an extreme result: The NFC East is the only division that recorded a simulation with a five-win champion. WebThe Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI versus the Bengals on February 13, 2022. worst team defense to win a super bowl The Los Angeles Rams won in Super Bowl LVI 1 pick, Ex-Patriots star McGinest facing eight years in prison, Commanders rip 'blatantly false' team sale report, Last Super Bowl appearance: 2016 (Super Bowl 50), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2017 (Super Bowl LI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1990 (Super Bowl XXIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1995 (Super Bowl XXIX), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1977 (Super Bowl XI), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2009 (Super Bowl XLIII), Last Super Bowl appearance: 2000 (Super Bowl XXXIV), Last Super Bowl appearance: 1994 (Super Bowl XXVIII). section: | slug: ranking-12-teams-that-never-won-a-super-bowl-by-best-chance-to-win-title-in-2021-high-hopes-in-buffalo | sport: football | route: article_single.us | Baltimore has a unique spot on this list because its inclusion is not based on mediocre talent (it had players like Bubba Smith and Johnny Unitas) or that it struggled to win games (the Colts went 11-2-1). If you look at the teams in this stratosphere, theres a lot of continuity at the coordinator positions and, obviously, head coach and QB. The Titans defense added Bud Dupree and Caleb Farley, but it may not be enough to make the the 24th-ranked unit (in points allowed) Super Bowl-caliber. That they have to play each other twice and are vying for the same divisional crown are limiting factors when it comes to win total and a chance to earn the coveted top seed in the AFC. So their overall grade suffered. Here are the 10 most likely Super Bowl LV matchups: The Green Bay Packers are clearly Super Bowl contenders. Tannehill is second in the league in passer rating (110.6), second in touchdown percentage (7.2) and first in yards per attempt (8.55). The Lions are in the first year of a rebuild, as Dan Campbell looks to change the culture of a franchise that has just one playoff win over the last 63 years. Super Bowl VIII: All rights reserved. I'm sure fans in Baltimore still curse Joe Namath's Super Bowl guarantee. This is my ranking of the best bets you can make on who will win Super Bowl 56 starting with the teams I absolutely would not recommend putting even a dollar on (with all odds via FOX Bet). New head coach Arthur Smith has some work to do this summer. There were 11 total turnovers in the game and the Cowboys took it one step further with a Super Bowl-record 10 penalties. Kansas City Chiefs +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total), Its really hard to get to the Super Bowl. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. They played in plenty of close games, and Steve McNair and Eddie George were superb. Over the past three years, Cousins is seventh in passer rating (103.6), second in completion percentage (69.03), fifth in passing touchdowns (91), and 10th in yards per attempt (7.77).