You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. 3 min read. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. 11:03 AM. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Thats Changing. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. david senak now. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. send a tweet. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. File Upload. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". 10 Wednesday AM Reads. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. All rights reserved. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. NEW TOWN . They determine whether we live in a free or repres They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. In the main event, former light He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Transcripts by Erin Wade. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. Galen speaks with him. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. Accuracy is not guaranteed. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. Thanks! In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. This is the final episode. Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. r/fivethirtyeight. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. police- settlements. They consider how much. Instagram did not return a 200. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Today those numbers have flipped. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. The crew discusses why some Republican candidates are changing their tune about the legitimacy of the 2020 election depending on the situation. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country.